tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:26 RDM → 07:55 SEA
    DL 4036 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 29m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 14:53 PHX
    DL 2449 · Delta · 3h 08m · 79% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 27mRDM 06:26 to PHX 14:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.