tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Nashville via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 17:00 PVD → 19:12 DTW
    DL 4040 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 12m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 22:15 BNA
    DL 2126 · Delta · 1h 40m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Providence). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 15mPVD 17:00 to BNA 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.