tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:20 SJC → 09:49 SEA
    DL 4041 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 29m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 SEA → 16:45 ORD
    DL 637 · Delta · 4h 10m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 25mSJC 07:20 to ORD 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.