tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 19:41 SMF → 22:05 SEA
    DL 4043 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:42 MCO +1 day
    DL 448 · Delta · 5h 27m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 01mSMF 19:41 to MCO 07:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.