tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 19:41 SMF → 22:05 SEA
    DL 4043 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 69 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 54m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 36mSMF 19:41 to MSP 05:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.