tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 07:35 LAX
    DL 4057 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 LAX → 17:25 JFK
    DL 958 · Delta · 5h 55m · 83% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 25mPHX 06:00 to JFK 17:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.