tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 12:22 MDT → 14:01 DTW
    DL 4065 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:10 DTW → 16:42 IAD
    DL 1787 · Delta · 1h 32m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 20mMDT 12:22 to IAD 16:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.