tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:52 SMF → 10:05 SEA
    DL 4075 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:40 SEA → 20:25 JFK
    DL 415 · Delta · 5h 45m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 33mSMF 07:52 to JFK 20:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.