tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Austin via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:52 SMF → 10:05 SEA
    DL 4075 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:04 SEA → 17:18 AUS
    DL 831 · Delta · 4h 14m · 79% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 26mSMF 07:52 to AUS 17:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.