tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Hebron via Los Angeles: arrives on time 73%

  1. 20:09 PHX → 21:50 LAX
    DL 4077 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 41m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 LAX → 06:07 CVG +1 day
    DL 458 · Delta · 4h 12m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 58mPHX 20:09 to CVG 06:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.