tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 63%

  1. 20:09 PHX → 21:50 LAX
    DL 4077 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 41m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 LAX → 23:40 SAN
    DL 3746 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip3h 31mPHX 20:09 to SAN 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.