tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 11:57 XNA → 14:52 ATL
    DL 4082 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 20mXNA 11:57 to MSP 17:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.