tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Austin: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:40 MEM → 08:38 AUS
    DL 4088 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 58m · 89% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Austin (AUS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:04 AUS → 12:28 PHX
    AA 2042 · American · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 48mMEM 06:40 to PHX 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.