tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 08:25 BZN → 09:29 SEA
    DL 4092 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 04m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:20 SEA → 15:31 SFO
    AS 680 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 06mBZN 08:25 to SFO 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.