tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 10:37 RNO → 12:21 LAX
    DL 4099 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 LAX → 21:04 MSP
    DL 2198 · Delta · 3h 39m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 27mRNO 10:37 to MSP 21:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.