tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 12:03 MSN → 13:37 MSP
    DL 4102 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 MSP → 19:18 LGA
    DL 2732 · Delta · 2h 47m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 14mMSN 12:03 to LGA 19:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.