tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 87%

  1. 08:52 MSN → 10:15 MSP
    DL 4103 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 MSP → 15:38 DTW
    DL 1519 · Delta · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 46mMSN 08:52 to DTW 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.