tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Philadelphia via Minneapolis: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:52 MSN → 10:15 MSP
    DL 4103 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:09 MSP → 14:43 PHL
    DL 2679 · Delta · 2h 33m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 50mMSN 08:52 to PHL 14:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.