tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 72%

  1. 08:52 MSN → 10:15 MSP
    DL 4103 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MSP → 16:45 LGA
    DL 2756 · Delta · 2h 45m · 77% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 53mMSN 08:52 to LGA 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.