tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:52 MSN → 10:15 MSP
    DL 4103 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:57 MSP → 15:42 ORD
    AA 3432 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 50mMSN 08:52 to ORD 15:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.