tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:00 RNO → 08:45 LAX
    DL 4106 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 LAX → 16:51 MSP
    DL 413 · Delta · 3h 36m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 51mRNO 07:00 to MSP 16:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.