tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 RNO → 08:45 LAX
    DL 4106 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 LAX → 18:12 MSP
    DL 914 · Delta · 3h 36m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 11mRNO 07:00 to MSP 18:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.