tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Detroit via Phoenix: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:19 LAX → 09:55 PHX
    DL 4119 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:06 PHX → 17:54 DTW
    DL 1070 · Delta · 3h 48m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 35mLAX 08:19 to DTW 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.