tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Minneapolis via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 10:35 PHX → 12:11 LAX
    DL 4119 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 LAX → 21:04 MSP
    DL 2198 · Delta · 3h 39m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 29mPHX 10:35 to MSP 21:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.