tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:35 PHX → 12:11 LAX
    DL 4119 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 LAX → 16:47 SEA
    DL 2606 · Delta · 2h 47m · 84% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 12mPHX 10:35 to SEA 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.