tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Orlando via Los Angeles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:35 PHX → 12:11 LAX
    DL 4119 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 09m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 LAX → 00:14 MCO +1 day
    DL 718 · Delta · 4h 54m · 77% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 204 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 09m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip10h 39mPHX 10:35 to MCO 00:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.