tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 17:45 EUG → 19:05 SEA
    DL 4124 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 20m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:56 SEA → 23:46 DEN
    DL 2851 · Delta · 2h 50m · 78% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Eugene). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 01mEUG 17:45 to DEN 23:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.