tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Nashville via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 13:00 SMF → 15:16 SEA
    DL 4125 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 16m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 SEA → 23:59 BNA
    DL 815 · Delta · 4h 29m · 82% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 59mSMF 13:00 to BNA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.