tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 13:00 SMF → 15:16 SEA
    DL 4125 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 16m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 SEA → 23:30 MSP
    DL 949 · Delta · 3h 25m · 83% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 30mSMF 13:00 to MSP 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.