tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Atlanta via Los Angeles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 12:03 ASE → 13:27 LAX
    DL 4133 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 72% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 LAX → 00:10 ATL +1 day
    DL 471 · Delta · 4h 30m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip10h 07mASE 12:03 to ATL 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.