tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Atlanta via Los Angeles: arrives on time 51%

  1. 12:03 ASE → 13:27 LAX
    DL 4133 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 72% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:15 LAX → 21:53 ATL
    DL 715 · Delta · 4h 35m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 47mASE 12:03 to ATL 21:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.