tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 76%

  1. 12:03 ASE → 13:27 LAX
    DL 4133 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 72% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:10 LAX → 18:38 SFO
    UA 233 · United · 1h 28m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 35mASE 12:03 to SFO 18:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.