tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:32 EUG → 13:59 SEA
    DL 4139 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 SEA → 16:47 SMF
    DL 4153 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 02m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 15mEUG 12:32 to SMF 16:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.