tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → New York via Austin: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:05 BNA → 09:26 AUS
    DL 4146 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 21m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 AUS → 16:12 JFK
    DL 1406 · Delta · 3h 58m · 86% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 07mBNA 07:05 to JFK 16:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.