tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Ana via Sacramento: arrives on time 92%

  1. 14:45 SEA → 16:47 SMF
    DL 4153 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 02m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:45 SMF → 22:15 SNA
    WN 3837 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 32mSEA 14:45 to SNA 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.