tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 17:27 SMF → 19:39 SEA
    DL 4153 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 12m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 SEA → 00:06 SFO +1 day
    DL 2635 · Delta · 2h 21m · 71% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 39mSMF 17:27 to SFO 00:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.