tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:00 ATW → 09:25 DTW
    DL 4176 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 DTW → 13:03 ORD
    DL 1716 · Delta · 1h 28m · 78% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 03mATW 07:00 to ORD 13:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.