tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:00 ATW → 09:25 DTW
    DL 4176 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 DTW → 13:36 LAS
    DL 421 · Delta · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 35mATW 07:00 to LAS 13:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.