tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:00 ATW → 09:25 DTW
    DL 4176 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:02 DTW → 13:36 ORD
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 36mATW 07:00 to ORD 13:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.