tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Detroit via Las Vegas: arrives on time 55%

  1. 20:08 SNA → 21:26 LAS
    DL 4179 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 LAS → 06:04 DTW +1 day
    DL 502 · Delta · 3h 54m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 56mSNA 20:08 to DTW 06:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.