tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:09 ATW → 13:30 DTW
    DL 4440 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:56 DTW → 16:26 ORD
    DL 2358 · Delta · 1h 31m · 76% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 18mATW 11:09 to ORD 16:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.