tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 11:09 ATW → 13:30 DTW
    DL 4440 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:35 DTW → 17:56 LAS
    DL 766 · Delta · 4h 21m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 47mATW 11:09 to LAS 17:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.