tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:27 XNA → 18:22 ATL
    DL 4442 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 ATL → 21:46 DCA
    DL 727 · Delta · 1h 51m · 57% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 19mXNA 15:27 to DCA 21:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.