tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Los Angeles via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:27 XNA → 18:22 ATL
    DL 4442 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 ATL → 20:45 LAX
    DL 763 · Delta · 4h 34m · 68% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 27mXNA 15:27 to LAX 20:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.