tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:27 XNA → 18:22 ATL
    DL 4442 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ATL → 22:47 PHX
    DL 842 · Delta · 4h 02m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 20mXNA 15:27 to PHX 22:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.