tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → Seattle via San Francisco: arrives on time 16%

  1. 07:40 ACV → 08:56 SFO
    UA 4632 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 16m · 17% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 SFO → 12:34 SEA
    UA 2192 · United · 2h 19m · 47% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip4h 54mACV 07:40 to SEA 12:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.