tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 34%

  1. 07:40 ACV → 08:56 SFO
    UA 4632 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 16m · 17% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:19 SFO → 11:57 LAX
    UA 2367 · United · 1h 38m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 17mACV 07:40 to LAX 11:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.