tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:29 ATW → 18:59 ORD
    UA 4633 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 60% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 ORD → 23:30 ATL
    UA 2770 · United · 2h 21m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 01mATW 17:29 to ATL 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.