tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:00 AUS → 07:40 LAX
    UA 4642 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 40m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 LAX → 11:28 PHX
    AA 1668 · American · 1h 28m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 28mAUS 06:00 to PHX 11:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.