tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 AUS → 07:40 LAX
    UA 4642 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 40m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:30 LAX → 10:55 SMF
    WN 4454 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 55mAUS 06:00 to SMF 10:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.